FORECASTING THE VOLUME OF PRODUCT (WORKS, SERVICES) EXPORT OF SMALL BUSINESS SUBJECTS OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN USING TREND MODELS

Abstract

We know that a number of measures have been implemented in our country to find a solution to the problem of increasing the volume of exports, in theory, its economic analysis is considered a very important factor for our national economy. Because, to find a solution to the problem of increasing the volume of exports at the present time, increasing the volume of products(work, services)that are emerging on the basis of the exact demand and supply of our current era, as well as increasing the volume of sales in our country, represent the future state of this market and our overall economy. This article will talk about the Arima model of forecasting and analyze the number of unemployment using this model.